Bacalah teks berikut untuk... - Soal UTBK No.140

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140.
Bacalah teks berikut untuk menjawab soal nomor 136 sampai 140!
Why Projects Take Longer Than Planned
Ask a student how long an essay will take and the answer is usually shorter than the time it eventually requires. Psychologists call this habit the planning fallacy. People imagine the smooth path from start to finish and forget the interruptions and problems that usually appear along the way.
The error persists even when people know from experience that earlier tasks ran late. One explanation is that each new task seems special, with its own good reasons why this time will go better. Another is that estimating is done early, when enthusiasm is high and the difficulties are not yet visible.
Researchers who study large building projects suggest a remedy. Instead of estimating from the details of one project, planners should look at how long similar projects took in the past and start from that figure. This method does not remove surprises, but it keeps plans from depending on the best case.
Which of the following findings would most strengthen the remedy suggested in paragraph 3?

Planners who felt enthusiastic at the start of a project usually made the most accurate plans and finished early.

Students estimate the time for an essay more accurately when they have written it before.

Large building projects sometimes meet unexpected problems that no earlier project had faced anywhere in the world.

Projects planned using the durations of similar past projects finished closer to their estimates than other projects.

Some projects finish earlier than planned because their planners did not expect problems.

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